THE DEFINITION OF SCENARIOS OF PRODUCTION OF GROSS REGIONAL PRODUCT
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15407/econlaw.2016.02.014Keywords:
regional economy, gross regional product, factors of formation and calculation of GRP, correlation and regression analysis, economic growth, scenarios of developmentAbstract
The article describes the contents of calculation of gross regional product. Determined by its role in the aggregate economic indicators of the current and future economic development of the region. The constructed economic-mathematical model of dependence GRP from a number of economic factors. Comparative analysis of actual and estimated volumes of GRP. Substantiated forecast of the GRP in accordance with the dynamics of the value factors on the basis of correlation and regression analysis. Justified the most probabilistic scenario of production of GRP according to the criterion of the average value of the dynamics of the factors of the previous years.
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