PROBLEMS OF METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK FOR CALCULATING THE LEVEL OF ECONOMIC SECURITY OF UKRAINE AND ITS REGIONS

Abstract

The problems of methodological framework for assessing the level of economic security of Ukraine and its regions in the context of modern war and post-war challenges are investigated. The formation of a modern methodology for assessing economic security is an important element of ensuring systemic, science-based and adaptive management of economic risks at the national and regional levels. The key shortcomings of current approaches to measuring economic security and determining science-based directions for improving methodological tools are identified. It is shown that the repeal of the 2013 Methodological Recommendations without the introduction of a qualitatively new methodology created a methodological vacuum that complicates the formation of state policy and risk monitoring. The main structural problems of current approaches are identified: the use of outdated threshold values, the lack of a regional dimension, failure to take into account environmental and socio-demographic factors, fragmentation of statistical information between institutions. The shortcomings of the narrowed format of economic resilience monitoring, which does not provide a comprehensive assessment of sectoral and regional risks, are analyzed.

Based on the analysis conducted, directions for modernization of methodological framework have been determined: regionalization of assessment; integration of environmental indicators into the economic security system; creation of a single digital information platform for collecting and processing statistical data; application of adaptive and dynamic projected threshold values; introduction of an institutional mechanism for regular review and updating of the methodology. It is emphasized that comprehensive consideration of these directions is a necessary condition for the formation of a modern, science-based system of economic security monitoring, capable of ensuring effective strategic planning, early detection of crisis trends and increasing the economic resilience of the state and regions in the long term.