The modelling of bifurcations of the statistical distributions of the concentrations of ammonia nitrogen in the river Desna

Authors

  • V. I. Osadchiy Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine and the NAS of Ukraine, Kiev
  • N. N. Osadcha Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine and the NAS of Ukraine, Kiev
  • L. A. Kovalchuk Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine and the NAS of Ukraine, Kiev
  • O. Y. Skrynyk Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine and the NAS of Ukraine, Kiev

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15407/dopovidi2016.09.088

Keywords:

ammonia nitrogen, probability density, stochastic bifurcations, stochastic differential equation

Abstract

Stochastic bifurcations of the probability density of the nitrogen concentration of ammonia in the river Desna are explained as a result of the accidental coincidence of two natural processes: reduced water flow and high thermal background. The reliability of the output is about 75 %. The modeling is done with a stochastic differential equation with the control parameter.

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References

Osadchiy V. I., Kovalchuk L. A. Reports of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, 2013, No 4: 97–103 (in Russian).

Nicolis G., Prigogine I. Exploring complexity, Moscow: Mir, 1990 (in Russian).

Vadivasova T. E., Anishchenko V. S. Izv. vuzov "PND", 2009, No 5: 3–16 (in Russian).

Published

19.11.2024

How to Cite

Osadchiy, V. I., Osadcha, N. N., Kovalchuk, L. A., & Skrynyk, O. Y. (2024). The modelling of bifurcations of the statistical distributions of the concentrations of ammonia nitrogen in the river Desna . Reports of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, (9), 88–93. https://doi.org/10.15407/dopovidi2016.09.088